Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2
at National-SEA 2025
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.9% | 12 | 10-2-0 | 83.3% | 75.0% | 76.0% | +11.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 9 | 3-4-2 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 39.7% | -4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 13.6% | 17 | 11-2-4 | 76.5% | 71.4% | 67.5% | +6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +7.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 63.0% | +8.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 53.1% | +1.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 20.8% | -16.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rai | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 4 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 4 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 |